Monday, July 16, 2007

Toronto Star doing the Drug Czar's bidding

The associated press allowed the following highly dubious assertions made up U.S. Attorney Stephen Murphy and Sterling Heights Police Chief David Vinson to go unchallenged.

“This is not your dad's marijuana,” Vinson said. “It has 10 times the THC content of normal marijuana.”

“Murphy said the hydroponically-grown marijuana is chemically supercharged and comparable to cocaine in its effects and its ability to fetch up to $6,000 per pound.”


By reprinting the associated press article, the Toronto Star disseminated the lies developed by US officials about the dangers of “potent pot”. http://www.thestar.com/News/article/234446

What is the problem with the above? Well, the legend of potent pot is mere Drug Czar myth. Yes some of today’s marijuana is more potent than "dad’s" but to claim that it is 10 more potent that dad’s is patently absurd.

Furthermore, even if we assume that potent pot is a reality it is certainly nothing to be concerned about. http://www.slate.com/id/2074151 Indeed, saying that potent pot is reason for keeping marijuana illegal is akin to saying that alcohol should be banned because gin has higher alcohol content than beer. It makes no sense. The pharmacological affects of consuming 1 “chemically supercharged” joint versus x number of your “dad’s marijuana” joints would be no different if the amount of THC consumed is the same. As for consumption, just as people do not drink the same volume of gin as beer, the higher the THC level in pot the less people consume. Hence, ironically more potent pot may be a welcome development. After all, one of the most prominent health effect related to marijuana, if not the most, is that it is usually smoked. The more potent the pot, the less people have to smoke to achieve the same high.

All that being said, if potency is the concern, then it should be legalized. As would be Liberal MP Martha Hall Findlay has noted, the only way to regulate the potency of pot is to legalize it. Moreover, so long as the drug is illegal, producers will seek to increase potency. The higher the potency the smaller the package the smaller the package the less likely they will get caught.

“Murphy said the hydroponically-grown marijuana is chemically supercharged and comparable to cocaine in its effects”

I wish someone would ask Murphy if he believes there are marijuana whores the same way there are "crack whores"? If he says yes, oh how I will rejoice. It will keep me laughing for years. I might even think of turning what he said into a bumper sticker.

As Liberal senator and former Vancouver major Larry Campbell rightly noted., "This is not a drug that causes criminality,' http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20070711/senator_pot_070711/20070711?hub=Politics

"We don't see marijuana users going around beating and robbing people. They don't fit the criminal profile but there's a criminal stigma attached that means people can't get into the States."

http://www.canada.com/theprovince/news/story.html?id=2503db23-8fcf-4150-8ad0-325ec19b16e9&k=19171

Saturday, July 14, 2007

Medical Marijuana as Trojan Hoarse


The government of Canada has not appealed the Ontario Appeals decision (Parker) to the Supreme Court of Canada. “The choice of medication to alleviate the effects of an illness with life-threatening consequences is a decision of fundamental personal importance. Forcing Parker to choose between his health and imprisonment violates his right to liberty and security of the person." http://www.ontariocourts.on.ca/decisions/2000/july/parker.htm The federal government has also not appealed October 2003 Ontario Appeals court decision that not only reaffirmed that Canadians have a right to use marijuana if they need it for medical reasons but in addition ruled that "Exposing these individuals to the risks [of the black market] does not advance the objective of public health and safety”. http://norml.org/index.cfm?Group_ID=5774 (The Professor Young/ Barbara Budd interview provides a good summary of the issues involved. http://archives.cbc.ca/IDCC-1-69-652-3603/life_society/marijuana/ ) In other words, the Canadians who need medical marijuana should not be forced to go to the black market to obtain it. It must be made available through legal channels. In both cases the courts gave the government time make the necessary legal changes. Both times they have failed. This most recent decision is strike three.

The federal government, rightly in my mind, sees the medical marijuana decisions as Trojan horse and so has continually dragged its feet. What they fail to recognize though is just how this Trojan horse works. They believe that the medical marijuana rulings will give traffickers a leg up and it does. The sick are not the only ones benefiting from the compassion clubs. However, in continuing to fight the rulings in a passive aggressive manner the Federal government undermines the legitimacy of Canada’s marijuana laws in the eyes of the public. The Canadian public sees the government get its fingers wrapped every three years by the courts and this enforces the Canada public’s belief that when it comes to marijuana the government is not being frank or fair. The court cases also bring the issue to the public’s attention and this reminds them of how little they think of the stated rationals for Canada’s marijuana laws in the first place.

So what are Stephen Harper’s options to nip the situation in the bud? He has but one. He can appeal the Parker decision to the Supreme Court. The problem for Harper is that he would likely loose and the political costs would be enormous. Canadians favor access to medical marijuana by a huge margin.

Canada’s Pot Possession laws Declared Unconstitutional


Canada’s Pot Possession laws are declared unconstitutional

This has happened before, but alas turned out to be a Prague Spring. So my expectations are tempered. Still I am convinced that sooner rather than later the damn will break and roughly for the reasons successfully argued in Toronto.


In court, the man argued that the federal government only made it policy to provide marijuana to those who need it, but never made it an actual law. Because of that, he argued, all possession laws, whether medicinal or not, should be quashed. The judge agreed and dismissed the charges.

"The government told the public not to worry about access to marijuana," said Judge Howard Borenstein. "They have a policy but not law.… In my view that is unconstitutional." Defence lawyer Brian McAllister, who represented the man, said the ramifications of the ruling have potential to be "pretty big."
http://www.cbc.ca/canada/toronto/story/2007/07/13/pot-toronto.html?ref=rss


Friday, July 13, 2007

Dr. Sanjay Gupta and Michael Moore: Some more Thoughts

http://www.michaelmoore.com/sicko/news/article.php?id=10026

GUPTA: "Well, I mean, he pulls $251 from this BBC unsourced report ... Where you pulled the $251 number was a BBC report, which, by the way, stated that the per capita spending in the United States was $5,700. You chose not to use the $5,700 from one report and chose to go to a totally different report and you're sort of cherry picking data from different reports ... Well, why didn't you use the $5,700 number from the BBC report?"

Moore: Actually, the number 'Sicko' cited for per capita Cuban spending on health care - $251, a number widely cited by the BBC and other outlets - comes from the United Nations Human Development Report, helpfully linked on our website. Here it is again: http://hdr.undp.org/hdr2006/statistics/indicators/52.html.
That UN report does list American health care spending as only $5,700, but it's a few years old. Since then, the U.S. government has updated it's projections for health care spending, to $7,498 in 2007. So we used that number. It's the most recent, and comes right from the Department of Health and Human Services. If the Cuban government gave a figure on 2007 projected health spending, we'd have used it.


Again, when making a comparison such as this you use a source that has figures for both. Otherwise one is open to the charge that one is comparing apples to oranges. By arguing a point on which he is clearly wrong, Moore focused attention away from the fact that he was right about the larger point. Cuban spends a fraction of what the US does on healthcare, but its health indicators are in some ways better than the US. Why is this?

Gupta was also right about Moore’s use of 2007 numbers. The 2007 numbers are estimates and estimates are not the same as solid figures and one has to note the difference. But this is minor point.

All and all, what I said before stands. Moore should have conceded these points and moved on to another comparison. Namely, Moore should have looked at the rate at which health care numbers are raising in the States in absolute terms. $7400 is long way from $5700 in a few short years and would represent a staggering increase in any other country.

GUPTA: "The point is, though, and I think you would have to concede this point, Michael, that you are trying to lead people to believe, again, people who are really concerned about this issue, that it is free in these other countries. And that is what I think is - (MOORE): It is free. (GUPTA) It's not, Michael."

Moore: “Sicko' doesn't hide from the obvious fact that higher taxes are needed to pay for free, universal health care. Former UK MP Tony Benn reads from the National Health Service founding pamphlet, which explicitly states that "this is not a charity. You are paying for it mainly as taxpayers." And 'SiCKO' also acknowledges that the French are "drowning in taxes," a line that clearly stuck with Gupta since he used it himself during the broadcast.

The medical care in countries with socialized medicine is still free. Gupta doesn't seem to grasp that. Here in America, when you go to the library and check out a book, it's free. When the fire department puts out a fire at your house, it's free. In Canada, when you go into the hospital for chemotherapy, it's free. You don't walk out with a bill. Yes, citizens pay higher taxes in countries with socialized medicine, but they don't pay the premiums, co-pays, deductibles and other out-of-pocket medical costs that we face in America. Moreover, in other industrialized countries citizens are not bankrupted by huge bills during a medical crisis – as is the case in America, where the leading cause of bankruptcy is medical bills. (Medical Bills Make up Half of Bankruptcies. Feb. 2005, MSNBC. http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6895896/)

Moore successfully undercuts Gupta’s point. That said, Moore does seem to run two senses of the “word” free together in Sicko. Not to be too cheeky about it but one does not need to “pay” higher taxes for something that is “free”.

Throughout Gupta get on saying that “I get it Michael”, but I kept on waiting in vain for Moore to retort that “no you do not get. You concede that Americans health care system is broken, but are unwilling to concede that the route every other developed nation has chosen, namely some form of universal health care, is superior to ours. What you have implied again and again is that while our system is surely broken, so is everybody’s. This is a false equivalency. Yes the French medical system, for example, has its problems, it is hard to imagine a health care system without some, but their health care system is better than ours and this also holds for every other Western country. We pay far more than anyone else and get less out.” Maybe next time.

Potent Pot



Former Vancouver Mayor and Liberal Senator Larry Campbell:
"Marijuana should be legalized and controlled. We should tax the hell out of it with the revenue earmarked for health care"


On my way to watch Brazil and Spain play, I listened to 1040, Vancouver’s sports radio show. It was slow day and instead of talking about sports and the game I was going to the topic de jour was whether marijuana should be legalized. Being Vancouver, naturally the consensus was that it should be. However, one Vancouver Province columnist was nevertheless concerned about “potent” pot.

This irked me. The legend of potent pot rests on some pretty shaky ground and is more Drug Czar myth than reality, but even if we assume that potent pot is a reality it is certainly nothing to be concerned about. http://www.slate.com/id/2074151

Indeed, saying that potent pot is reason for keeping marijuana illegal is akin to saying that alcohol should be banned because gin has higher alcohol content than beer. It makes no sense. Just as people do not drink the same volume of gin as beer, the higher the THC level the less people consume. Ironically more potent pot may be a welcome development. After all, one of the most prominent health effect related to marijuana, if not the most, is that it is usually smoked. The more potent the pot, the less people have to smoke to achieve the same high.
All that being said, Liberal Martha Hall Findlay turned the potent argument on its head. She argued that if potency is the concern, then it should be legalized. The only way to regulate the potency of pot is to legalize it. I would go even further and note that so long as the drug is illegal, producers will seek to increase potency. The higher the potency the smaller the package the smaller the package the less likely they will get caught.

Thursday, July 12, 2007

Main Stream Media and Objectivity

Paul Krugman once quipped that if the Bush administration was to say the earth was flat, the following headline would appear in papers across America the next day. “Views Differ on the Shape of the Earth.” Krugman’s point was this. For the MSM, being objective means being equally skeptical and critical of two sides of any “debate” and giving each side equal time. Viewpoints should not be judged only reported. Debate is nothing more or less than the presence of differing opinions. The problem with this is that it is completely at odds with our workaday notion of what it means to be objective, viz., the ethic that when evaluating opposing viewpoints that we apply the same set of standards to each. Being objective implies being judicious/judgmental. When two or more opposing viewpoints are found to have merit there is considered to be debate. Debate is much more than a mere difference of opinion. The consequences of the MSM media holding to this notion of objectivity are many and varied, but the most noticeable and commented on is the one Krugman hits on above. Specifically, being unwilling to pass judgment on the validity of particular viewpoints, the news often violates our workaday notions what it means to be objective and what constitutes debate. As a result, are left with the impression that we are down the rabbit hole and reason does not apply. The MSM coverage of the so called debate on global warming is great case in point as is the “debate” between creation science and evolution.

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Dr. Sanjay Gupta vs Michael Moore

Dr. Sanjay Gupta and Michael Moore got into it on Larry King Live last night. http://www.michaelmoore.com/ This follows just on the heels of Moore’s blowup the day before on CNN. Moore was rightly upset by a “fact checking” piece by Gupta. Gupta made two glaring errors of fact.

"(Moore says) the United States slipped to number 37 in the world's health care systems. It's true. ... Moore brings a group of patients, including 9/11 workers, to Cuba and marvels at their free treatment and quality of care. But hold on - that WHO list puts Cuba's health care system even lower than the United States, coming in at #39."

Moore never made attempt to hide the fact that Cuba was lower ranked than the US let alone imply that they are ranked higher. Gupta did not retract what he said. http://www.michaelmoore.com/sicko/news/article.php?id=10017 Moore showed the list of the rankings displayed in the movie it Cuba is clearly listed as being 39th on the list.

"Moore asserts that the American health care system spends $7,000 per person on health. Cuba spends $25 dollars per person. Not true. But not too far off. The United States spends $6,096 per person, versus $229 per person in Cuba."

The number Moore quoted in the movie was $251 and Gupta corrected the record last night. As for the US number numbers, in attacking Gupta, Moore, as he frequently does, missed the forest for the trees. Moore says that Gupta’s numbers, although from the same source, were from 2004 and his from 2006. This is fair criticism, but Gupta rightly pointed out that the same source that Moore took the Cuban number also listed US costs at $5,700 and Moore should use the same source when making a comparison. What Moore failed to note was the huge increase in US health care costs. In other words, he should have abandoned the Cuban comparison, and pursued another. From 2004 to 2006 US health care costs went up a $1000 per person. This is incredible, but what is even more incredible is that according the same that same source costs are supposed to increase in to $7400 per person by the end of 2007. To put this into perspective, if health care costs the same amount in absolute terms in Canada over the last 2 years, that would represent a 34% increase!

Rhetorically Moore fell down when he insisted on debating whether Americans are Cubans lived longer. Yes Moore did cite the most recent stats showing the Cubans live slightly longer than Americans and Gupta asserted just the opposite, but in the greater scheme of things no one is interested in a photo finish. Moore:

“The 2006 United Nations Human Development Report's human development index states the life expectancy in the United States is 77.5 years. It is 77.6 years in Cuba. (Human Development Report 2006, United Nations Development Programme, 2006 at 283.”

The point to be made here and one Moore makes in movie is why are the Cubans mortality figures even in the same ballpark as the US.

The rest of the debate focused on wait times and here Gupta proved to be the more adapt, graceful and knowledgeable than Moore. Worse for Moore, Moore failed to bring the very things we saw in the movie into this segment of the debate. Whenever, Gupta brought up wait times in Canada Moore would fire back that if you took 5.25 million Canadians out of the equation, i.e., one sixth population or the same percenatage as do not have health care in the states, wait times would be reduced here. That is good point, but an equally powerful one is the one he makes in his movie. Namely, with respect to the US, what matters is not only how long insured people have to wait for a particular procedure once it is approved by their HMO, but also whether the procedure will be approved in the first place. For example, the amount of time Tracy, who had insurance, waited in vain for a bone marrow transplant is not on the books.

Monday, July 09, 2007

Michael Moore's Sicko: a Review



In the opening segment of Sicko, we learn of a man who severed the top of his ring finger and top his middle finger. The man did not have insurance and was told that he would have to pay $12,000 to have the ring finger made whole again and $60,000 for the same for the middle finger. He chose only the former and presumably gave the middle finger to the hospital.


As Moore makes clear early on though, this is not a film focused on the uninsured. For the first half of the movie, Moore is primarily concerned with insured Americas who were “swept into the cracks by the insurance industry”. As with all of his films, Moore takes Stalin’s infamous, but true, maxim to heart. "One death is a tragedy; a million is a statistic." The film is emotionally compelling. It is also funny, albeit in a Kafkaesque sort of way. For example, one woman tells how she was involved in serious head on collision, knocked on unconscious, taken to hospital while still unconscious and then told by her insurance company that she must pay for the ambulance ride because she did not get it pre-approved.


The film does have its faults. Nuance has never been Moore’s strong suit and he never fully grasps the issues at hand. Moreover, the bulky quintessential American does have a talent for telling lies of omission; the omitted Roger Smith interviews being the best case in point. In Moore’s telling of tragic story of year and half year old Mychelle Williams the aforementioned shortcomings come together. This is a court summary of what happened to her. http://72.14.253.104/search?q=cache:8X2NiWC0wlAJ:caselaw.findlaw.com/data2/californiastatecases/s067733.doc+Mychelle+Williams&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=4&gl=ca



“On May 6, 1993, at approximately 5:30 p.m., Dawnelle Barris (hereafterBarris) brought her 18-month old daughter, Mychelle Williams, to the emergency room at Martin Luther King/Drew Medical Center (hereafter King/Drew) by ambulance. Mychelle was a member of the Kaiser Foundation Health Plan (hereafter Kaiser), but was taken to King/Drew because it was the nearest emergency medical facility. She had suffered episodes of vomiting and diarrhea, was lethargic, and was having difficulty breathing. Her temperature was 106.6 degrees, her pulse and respiratory rate were abnormally fast, she had abnormally low pulse oxygenation, and she had infections of the middle ear in both ears.

Mychelle was transferred to the pediatric emergency room, and examined by Dr. Trach Phoung Dang. He believed her fever might be caused by bacteria in the bloodstream. He noted signs and symptoms consistent with sepsis, a life-threatening bacterial infection that he knew requires prompt treatment with antibiotics. Nonetheless, he did not rule out sepsis or begin antibiotic treatment. Although he concluded that a complete blood culture, which could have detected sepsis, should be done, he did not order it because he believed that he had to obtain authorization from Kaiser. Kaiser had developed a program called the Emergency Prospective Review Program (EPRP) to deal with situations where a Kaiser member is brought to a non-Kaiser facility for emergency medical care. Its purpose was to facilitate the transfer of such patients to a Kaiser facility.

On the night of May 6, Brian Thompson, a Kaiser physician, was handling phone calls that came in under the EPRP. At approximately 7 p.m., Dr. Dang spoke by telephone to Dr. Thompson to arrange for possible transfer of Mychelle. Dr. Dang discussed her condition and indicated that he thought blood tests, which would rule out a bacterial infection in the blood, should be performed at King/Drew. Dr. Thompson instructed him not to perform the tests, saying that the blood work would be done at Kaiser. Apparently still concerned about the delay in treatment, Dr. Dang telephoned Dr. Thompson again, and repeatedly suggested starting the blood work at King/Drew. Again, Dr. Thompson instructed Dr. Dang not to do so. Dr. Dang noted in his chart that “Dr. Thompson at Kaiser did not want me to do any blood test.”

At approximately 8 p.m., Mychelle suffered a seizure. She became increasingly lethargic and nonresponsive. Dr. Dang treated her symptoms of fever, dehydration, breathing difficult, and seizure, but did not administer antibiotics.

Shortly after 9 p.m., Mychelle was transferred by ambulance to Kaiser. At 9:50 p.m., within 15 minutes of her arrival, Mychelle suffered a cardiac arrest and was pronounced dead shortly thereafter. A blood culture performed as part of an autopsy was positive for streptococcus bacteria, which is readily treatable by antibiotics. The death certificate listed cardiac respiratory arrest caused by septicemia, or sepsis, that had been present for 10 hours.

Moore puts the blame squarely on Kaiser’s shoulders. He implies in the movie that it was Kaiser’s refusal to allow the blood test to go ahead that led to the toddler’s death. No one outside perhaps Dr Dang shares this opinion and the important question as to why Dr Dang was unwilling to go head with the blood test irrespective of what the Kaiser official said goes wanting for an answer in the movie. Truth be told, both sides where equally guilty. They literally passed the buck back and forth while the little girl died, but there was no official denial of coverage. No side had blinked by the time the little girl had died.


At trail, Dang testified that although he was cognizant of the fact that sepsis was a possible cause of the girl’s condition, he thought the cause was an acute asthma attack. An expert for Barris, Mychelle’s mom, blew Dang’s story apart. The expert noted that the medical record and Dang and Thompson’s conversion showed that Dang believed that it was sepsis. The expert also noted that irrespective of what he thought, it was standard practice to administer antibiotics just in case it was sepsis. The jury found for the plaintiff. The majority of the blame was assumed by Dang and the county.


Kaiser is now using Dang’s discredited testimony to undermine Moore’s account.

"Fourteen years ago, the treating physician at the King/Drew Medical Center incorrectly believed that he was treating a patient having an acute asthma attack. He had several phone conversations with one of our physicians. Neither physician discussed the possibility that the child was suffering from a grave blood infection. During the course of those conversations, given the asthma misdiagnosis, the Kaiser physician believed that necessary tests could be conducted at Kaiser once the child was stabilized for asthma and transported to Kaiser. As a result of the misdiagnosis, the child ultimately succumbed to her blood infection. We offer our deepest sympathy to her family. ….

We regret that none of the physicians involved recognized that the child had a life-threatening infection and not asthma. The movie claims we denied coverage of treatment by the doctor at the county hospital. That was not true. The issue was a misdiagnosis followed by the wrong treatment. The movie is inaccurate in its portrayal of that sad case.

This was essentially a tragic case of medical malpractice.”


http://xnet.kp.org/newscenter/leadership/hcreform.html



Kaiser is trying to paint a case of medical malpractice arising out of corporate greed as a case of medical malpractice arising out of a misdiagnosis. What they are saying is, of course, complete and utter bullshit. Indeed, if you are to believe Kaiser “neither physician discussed the possibility that the child was suffering from a grave blood infection [i.e., Sepsis]” even though there were repeated requests made to Kaiser to have her tested for exactly that.

One can only hope that Kaiser’s efforts backfire. The insurance industry and their allies in the Bush administration have long maintained that medical malpractice suits are driving up costs and this has detrimental costs for all concerned. The cost of such lawsuits, many they argue illegitimate, needs to be capped. After all, medical error can never be fully eliminated and there is no fool proof method for preventing illegitimate lawsuits for succeeding from time to time. The Mychelle Williams case turns this talking point on its head. Mychelle Williams did not die due to medical error. The cause of her death was that no one was willing to say the buck stops here and get on with treating her in a timely manner. A reasonable conclusion to draw from this and other cases like it is this. If liability was ridgely capped, the insurance industry would be able to calculate the potential costs of not providing standard medical care and this would lead them to build into their business a rubric for determining when it is in their best interests to provide standard medical care when it was advisable to encourage malpractice or even engage in it . In other words, it would mean more Mychelle Williams.

The other half of the film is less memorable. The much criticized survey of health care systems outside the US has gotten far more negative publicity then it deserves and has only served to distract from the moral backbone of the film. The survey should be taken for what it is, namely Moore’s flippant response to the scaremongering tactics used by those opposed to “socialist medicine”. Besides, all is fair in love and Moore. What struck me about survey as noteworthy was not its superficiality, but rather the fact that not all of those that are interviewed are terribly sympathetic. As a Canadian, I was not happy to lean about the American health care refugee, or her older Canadian friend with benefits. I imagine the defenders of the French system where similarly not thrilled to learn that one of there own took a three month fully paid doctor prescribed vacation partying in the French Rivera. These are trivial complaints though.

The criticisms of Moore’s Cuba adventure carry more weight. However well intentioned the cause, when one gets right down it Moore provided a dictatorship with great PR. That said, the fact that the Castro regime was able to score so many points when given the chance reveals just how broken the US system is. No other western country would be as vulnerable.

Sunday, July 08, 2007

National Embarrassment




It is time to call a spade a spade. Canada’s men soccer program is a national embarrassment. In soccer, you get want you pay for. Canada puts very little money into developing its soccer programs, and at least as far as the men are concerned, it gets even less out. We are consistently the worst ranked team in the developed world. This is unacceptable.

To add insult to injury, the men’s under 20 team continued a woeful Canadian tradition of failing miserably in a competition hosted on Canadian soil. Not only is Canada the only host country to fail to win a gold medal at the Olympics, it is also the only host country of the men’s under 20 world cup to fail to score. We also lost every game.
http://sports.sympatico.msn.cbc.ca/TopStories/ContentPosting.aspx?feedname=CBC-SPORTS-V2&showbyline=True&newsitemid=canada-congo-fifa

Saturday, July 07, 2007

No to Uniting the Left Yes to Liberal Rebranding

I am not convinced it is in the best interests of the Canadian public or even the Liberal party to seek to unite the left.

For at its best, the NDP has provided an invaluable service to all Canadians; it widened the Canadian political debate and did so by historically being the most ideological of the major political parities. Parties concerned with the “art of the possible” are not infusing the political debate with new ideas with little chance of furthering their party at the polls. They are reactive. However, the catch 22 of such pragmatism is that such parties concede some of the field to those who are not so cautious. To use an evolutionary metaphor, the politically brave and ideologically pure help determine the policy areas to be discussed; the powerful and pragmatic determine what policies get accepted. Historically, the NDP were able to get “results” for Canadians in two ways. One, they played king maker in several Liberal minority governments. Two, they were able to achieve successes at a distance by continually infusing the political arena with new policy ideas. Either way the Liberal party benefited. By infusing the political arena with ideas from a leftist perspective, the NDP shifted the political debate in Canada leftward, leaving Liberals and not the Progressive Conservatives as the “natural governing party of Canada”.

That said, the problem is that the NDP at its worst is what it is under Jack Layton, viz., a sometimes Liberal echo chamber (on Kyoto, and Kelowna) but all in all a soulless new left party fixated on identity politics to determent of furthering social democratic ideals premised on the notion of universality. Under Layton, the NDP no longer champion European social democracy, a la Tommy Douglas. One consequence of this is that the gulf between Europe and Canada in many areas is simply enormous. The Europeans are light years ahead on a whole variety of issues.

With the NDP serving no useful purpose at this moment, it is falls to the Liberals to pick up the slack. For the sake of the party’s own electoral health, the Liberals must develop the type of social democratic ideas it has in the past poached from the NDP and in the process insure that the political discourse shifts leftward. At the same time the party must be aware of the constraints and pragmatic considerations placed on any party hopping to form the next government. This is no easy feat.

The party must also do something else. It desperately needs to rebrand itself. The sponsorship scandal and years of political compromise have stained the once bright gloss. “What is does mean to be a Liberal?” has become as intractable as “what does it mean to be a Canadian?”. It need not be this way. Indeed, it must not be this way. Having urged the party to make a break with the past in my previous post, I urge the party to return to more distant past and in the process prove two things. 1) The party must show the Canadian public, as outlined above, that it is the only major party willing to commit Canada to the best of European social democracy. 2) It must also prove itself to be the champion of social liberalism the way Trudeau did, particularly in 1968-1969.

Alas in the past couple of years the party has done neither. Sure the Liberals passed SSM legislation and promised to decriminalize marijuana and these were two reasons why Canada was “cool” back in 2003/2004, but it was the courts forced the Liberals to at last acknowledge that the issues were pregnant. Moreover, Martin did not laud bill 38 as an historic and just expansion of the societal franchise as true liberals everywhere were doing. On the contrary, Martin argued the Charter sometimes compels the government to act in way it may not like. In Martin’s words, the government can not “cherry pick rights”. The implication being that SSM was not a cherry. For Martin’s Liberals, SSM was not a righteous cause, but was rather the straight man’s burden. Martin gave SSM the defense befitting a pornographer.

Just as bad, the Liberals have followed the NDP down the rabbit hole and have begun mimicking the NDP’s love of identity politics. For example, the Liberals have embraced, as never before, the intellectual abortion that is native self government and the associated ethnic essentialism on steroids.

Wednesday, July 04, 2007

New Liberal: the Liberals Need to Break With The Past

The Liberal brass seeks continuity with the past. Only in Canada would a supposedly liberal party stress tradition as much as this one. What the Liberals should be looking to do is to break with their past (their most recent past anyway) and not embrace it. The Liberal Party is not going to get back into power promising to be same old good economic managers minus the corruption associated with the sponsorship program. Indeed, the economy is not tanking. So the solid Economic stewardship card does not even have superficial appeal.

If the Liberals are going to avoid being forgotten altogether, they are going to have to do two things. First, they are going to have to undermine the impression that Harper is becoming more and more moderate. This does not mean alleging that he has some kind of hidden agenda or even destructing rhetoric designed to deceive the Canadian public. It means proposing policies, a la SSM, that will radicalize the Tories’ social conservative base and so force Harper into the open. Provided that they have chosen their issues carefully, the Liberals should be able to define Harper as being the antithesis of what modern urban Canada considers itself to be, viz., pluralistic, modern, open minded, tolerant, and pragmatic. The public will only take notice if there are two clearly defined camps.

Second, and really the flip side of the first, the Liberals need to introduce policies that will get people talking. This means fist of all proposing policies that the public has the facility to talk about, again a la SSM, and can understand if only at an elementary level. What might qualify?
Well, the Liberals so called three pillars certainly do not. They are nothing but fluffy mush brain nonsense. After all, who is not for a “richer, greener and a fairer Canada”? The devil is in the details. Here are some candidates.

1)Propose scrapping the monarchy

2)Propose mandating 4 weeks vacation a year

3)Propose free dental care

4)Propose Legalizing euthanasia

5)Propose Legalizing marijuana

6)Propose abolishing the senate

7) Again propose banning hand guns

8) Mandatory voting.

Sunday, July 01, 2007

Canadians Favor Marijuana Legalization By a Wide Margin


55% Of Canadians want marijuana legalized. 41% do not. http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/fuseaction/viewItem/itemID/16300 Once again, the Canadian public is way ahead of a risk adverse, dull, stodgy, set in its ways Liberal Party.

Friday, June 29, 2007

The Liberal Party Has Run Out of Ideas

The Liberals have run out of ideas. They are literally letting themselves be defined by the Conservatives, albeit negatively. What does mean be Liberal these days? According to the Liberal brass it means supporting Martin’s monstrously ill-conceived Atlantic Accord, opposing a tax on income trusts that they wanted to impose themselves but lacked the guts and it means demanding that the government meet the Kyoto targets that they privately admit the government has no hope of meeting. The party is even borrowing slogans from the NDP. To wit: “We Bringing results to the People.”

Pathetic

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Andrew Coyne: The Afghan Mission's Black Knight


Andrew Coyne is right; there is no way Stephen Harper is going to sacrifice the chance of extending to Afghan mission always popular “political consensus”. He is also right to belittle the Liberals for holding to a policy that is nothing but a political façade. http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/editorialsletters/story.html?id=d4a14cf2-5148-4d51-8359-fff8274ab8e3&p=1
These are the only things he gets right though. He calls Tom Walkom, no supporter of the Kandahar adventure, a “triumphant defeatist” for believing, wrongly as I just said, that Harper will not extend the mission beyond 2009. http://www.thestar.com/article/228833 This is the rhetorical equivalent of the Black Knight, of Monty Python fame, calling a served limb a flesh wound. According to the State Department the number of attacks in Afghanistan last year was 53% higher than in 2005 and worse the number of people killed and wounded 91% higher. http://www.csmonitor.com/2007/0501/p99s01-duts.html The number of NATO dead in 2005 where 113% higher than in 2004. http://www.icasualties.org/oef/ Coyne might still have faith in mission but that is all he has got. The numbers do not back him up and he has certainly has no right to chide those how do not share his blind faith. All Coyne can do is threaten to bite opponent's knee caps and that is what he has done here.

Coyne continues his jingoistic rant by rhetorically asking what could possibly be gained by abandoning the Kandahar adventure and amazingly concludes that Canada has nothing to gain by leaving.
“And for what purpose? To whose benefit? The Afghans? No, it is quite clear they
want us there. The troops? No, they are equally adamant, in every interview I
have ever seen: they want to be there. Our NATO partners? Obviously not. The
only agenda served by the opposition's demands is the opposition's.”
Leaving aside the cost of mission that is doomed to fail, how about the threat to national unity the Afghan mission holds? A terrorist attack, inspired by Canada 's presence in Afghanistan, revitalize the Quebec’s separatist movement, especially if Quebec is the victim. Currently the Afghan mission is opposed by 70% of Quebecers. If Quebecers die as a result of us being there, the separatists will use it as a reason why Quebecers need their own country with its own foreign policy. Given what has transpired in Ontario, what happened in Spain and Britain, the chances of such an attack or not insignificant.

This is just the latest idiocy from Coyne. When the would be Ontario bombers were arrested Coyne noted on the National that Al Qaeda had long listed Canada as a potential target, that no Western country is immune from attack, and that the arrests were yet further reason for pursuing a more muscular approach in Afghanistan. What Coyne failed to note however was that the would be bombers did not have any connection to Al Qaeda, according to the Crown the accused were motivated by the Afghan mission and the reason Al Qaeda has targeted Canada is because of our presence in Afghanistan. This is the Al Qaeda threat Coyne was referring to.
“What do your governments want from their alliance with America in attacking us
in Afghanistan? I mention in particular Britain, France, Italy, Canada, Germany
and Australia.”
http://www.cbc.ca/news/background/osamabinladen/tape.html (Subsequently, Al Qaeda twice threatened Canada with terror acts because of Afghanistan. In one of those times, Al Qaeda’s second in command referred to Canada has “second rate crusaders”. http://www.canada.com/nationalpost/news/story.html?id=e9f20f44-ec19-470c-9ac3-6c79218d4d91 ) Only an ideologue of Coyne’s stature would have the chutzpah to use Al Qaeda’s threat related to our presence in Afghanistan as proof that Al Qaeda will attack any western target, as if Switzerland and the US are equally likely targets, and that we should therefore step up operations in Afghanistan.

Wednesday, June 06, 2007

A "Bridge" too far; Harper's rebranding of Bush to "Bridge" to him

Stephen Harper “The approach we have chosen, basing emissions reduction targets on units of production in the short run, allows growing and developing economies to engage in significant greenhouse gas reductions without putting themselves at immediate risk.’http://www.conservative.ca/EN/1004/80760

Yesterday I said this.“Harper's claim that his intensity based plan could serve as a model for others is simply laughable. Intensity of emissions has been going down on their own and during this time GHG emissions have gone up 25%. Indeed, since 1996 intensity has gone down an average of 2% every year. If you simply extend that line out over the next thirteen years, Canada will have reduced intensity by 26%. Of course there are plenty of reasons to believe that intensity will fall at an even quicker rate meaning that the Conservatives will likely not have to lift a finger to achieve a 33% drop in intensity by 2020. There is also no reason at all think that a decrease in 33% emissions intensity will lead to an absolute reduction in GHG.”http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2005/images/fig2_e.gif

I would like to add one more thing.

For the Conservatives to claim that their intensity based model could help “bridge” the gap between America and Europe is breath taking example of chutzpah for another reason. It is George Bush that first championed intensity based targets and for the reason outlined above, viz., it meant that he not have to do anything. Emission intensity was bound to go down on its own. For Harper to claim that his rebranding of a Bush doctrine that the Europeans have long since rejected as a “bridge” between Europe and the US now is simply amazing and an excellent example of how condescending he can be.

Tuesday, June 05, 2007

Harper’s Intensity based Emissions world model.


Stephen Harper: “Improvements in emissions intensity of this magnitude mean that there will be real, absolute reductions in emissions levels by at least 2012 and as early as 2010. It will put us on track to absolute greenhouse gas reductions of 20% by 2020.”


Stephen Harper: “The approach we have chosen, basing emissions reduction targets on units of production in the short run, allows growing and developing economies to engage in significant greenhouse gas reductions without putting themselves at immediate risk.”


Stephen Harper “There are elements of our plan that we believe could work not just for Canada, but for many countries in the world – including some of the large emitters that did not accept targets under the Kyoto protocol,”
http://www.conservative.ca/EN/1004/80760


Harper's claim that his intensity based plan could serve as a model for others is simply laughable. Intensity of emissions has been going down on their own and have been doing for a while and during this time GHG emissions have gone up 25%. Indeed, since 1996 intensity has gone down an average of 2% every year. If you simply extend that line out over the next thirteen years, Canada will have reduced intensity by 26%. Of course there is plenty of reasons to believe that intensity will fall at an even quicker rate meaning that the Conservatives will likely not have to lift a finger to achieve a 33% drop in intensity by 2020 and there is no reason at all think that an decrease in emissions intensity will lead to an absolute reductions in GHG.

http://www.ec.gc.ca/pdb/ghg/inventory_report/2005/images/fig2_e.gif

Conservative Lies of Omission Part 5: Intensity Based Emission Model




Harper claims that should the world follow Canada’s lead and adopt intensity based emission targets that the world community would be half way towards tackling global warming. Listening to Harper you would think that no progress has been made in this regard, but you would be wrong. Harper is lying by omission yet again. Since 1990 intensity of Canada’s emissions has fallen by 18% and they plummented since 1996. This puts Harper in something of a bind. He can abandon his tract of blaming the Liberals for everything and in the process give some much needed meat to his laughable claim that the Conservatives are for individual responsibility. In other words, he can give them credit for doing what his government now aims to do. Alternatively, he can claim that these reductions occurred despite the Liberals and not because of them and in the process reveal that by setting intensity targets and not absolute targets he is offering Canadians more of the same on the global warming front, viz., nothing. In either case, Harper is open to the charge that reductions in intensity do not amount up absolute reductions. After all, under the Liberals intensity went down by 18% and overall emissions went up by 25%.


It goes without saying that the chutzpah this government is capable of knows no bounds; rather than showing leadership on global warming, the Harper government intends to capitalize on technological innovations born of the Kyoto Accord’s regulatory framework to meet its intensity based emission targets. The worst of it all is that Harper will no doubt claim victory not for aiming high and succeeding, but by knocking the bar down and stepping over it.

Sunday, May 13, 2007

22 More Seats is not enough!




Adding a mere 22 seats is hardly going change things all that much. People in the populous regions of Canada, particularly in our biggest urban centers, will still be getting shafted. Indeed, if the government where to commit itself to giving an MP for every 70,000 people the new numbers would break down as follows. Ontario would gain 67 seats, Quebec 27, BC 23, Alberta 19, and Manitoba, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia 2 each. All total, a 142 seats should be added, most of those in Urban areas. There would still be outliers. PEI, and the territories would still be over represented, but I do not think this would bother anyone.
Some say that people in the less populous areas of the country need 1.5 to 6 times the representation because more populous provinces are more powerful then less populous ones, but that is weak argument. People living in the less populous regions of the country already have far more clout on a per person basis by virtue of the fact that the provincial and territorial jurisdictions in which they are a member or far less populous. Comparing province to province is a misnomer. It is comparing apples to oranges. What one should be comparing is the political resources of people in any two ridings. When one does this it is abundantly clear that people in Canada’s urban centers in particular are getting the short end of the stick. Indeed, PEI and its population of 135,851 and 4 MPs, as a province, has revenue streams available to it that are simply not available to Oak Ridges Markham and its population of 169, 642 and 1 MP. Oak Ridges Markham does not get Federal transfer payments.

Thursday, May 03, 2007

Is Dion another Paul Martin?




Under Trudeau, the Liberals had personality, a sense of purpose, swagger and youthful vigor. Under Chrétien, the Liberals also had personality but under his leadership the Liberals lacked the other three. Under Martin, the Liberals lacked all 4. Under Dion, the Liberals have to establish that their leader is not the second coming of Paul Martin. So far they are not doing a very good job. Outside of what has come dangerously close to sermonizing on the environment, the Liberals have continued to come up with middle of the road, offend no one, please no one, interest no one, policies that are utterly incoherent at their core because they are designed to appeal to both sides of any political divide. And then there is Denis Coderre and other living embodiments of everything the population hates about politicians.

Liberal stupidity and the Doan affair




“Liberal Leader Stephane Dion admitted that the government shouldn't interfere with Hockey Canada decisions, but called the Tories' silence on the issue 'shocking.'” http://www.cbc.ca/cp/hockey/070430/h043045A.html

No Stephane, what is “shocking” is how politically inept the Liberals have repeatedly proved to be. Adjectives such as “shocking” should be used sparingly and should only used to describe things that are truly shocking. There are political consequences to calling a lit candle a fire. The political consequences of hyperbole aside, the Conservatives are in the midst of a major political scandal and it is unforgivable that you decided to distract the media’s attention and for no good reason. Indeed, the issue in question is bound to be hopelessly unpopular outside of Quebec, is over two years old and the Shane Doan was cleared of the allegations in question anyway.

"The National Hockey League's investigation clearly shows that that was stated, but it also clearly shows that they felt that it wasn't Shane Doan."
http://www.ctv.ca/servlet/ArticleNews/story/CTVNews/20070503/hockey_meeting_070503/20070503?hub=Canada
Worst of all, the Shane Doan affair reinforces the perception that the Liberals are a bunch of easily offended nitpicky, opportunistic, shrill, huffy, strictly by the book, do gooders who are constantly going on about Canada’s many “obligations”. No wonder the Conservatives raised 10 times the amount the Liberals did in the first quarter of this year. The Dion Liberals have no street credibility and Dion seems to want to become the anti Trudeau. "Fuddle Duddle".

Sunday, April 22, 2007

Electioneering: Afghanistan, Kyoto and Dion's English




Dion is 100 times better than Paul Martin and would make a pretty good PM, but that does not change the fact that unless the Liberals get their act together real soon the Conservatives are going to beat Dion like a circus monkey during the next election.

I have long bemoaned Dion’s poor English. Part of this is born of frustration. The potential is there; Dion is cable of landing some heavy blows. He has a cutting wit and strong grasp of the issues. However his struggles with the language mean that he can not deliver rhetorical blows as quickly or as clearly as Stephen Harper, or for that matter Bob Rae. Whatever its cause, I do not think his English is strong enough for the Liberals to win a minority let alone a majority. The Liberals must make better use of people such as Rae.

My concern goes well beyond Dion’s English though. During the leadership campaign I was beginning to think that Liberals were going to end up running on the same platform they ran on last time and lost, viz., Kyoto, Childcare and Kelowna. Afghanistan and Dion’s environmental focus changed that, but alas not necessarily for the better. The Liberal platform and maneuverings can best be described as a work in progress and at worst as amateurish. It strikes most pundits as being slightly exotic. Dion’s deal with Elizabeth May, for example, has met with near universal incomprehension in the MSM. This is not good news for the Liberals and threatens to swamp whatever potential benefits, and yes there are a few (e.g., the shoring up Dion’s environmental creditability in the face of a weak Liberal environmental record), such an alliance might produce. The Liberals have to do a better job of selling their ideas to the press. The timing of the announcement is certainly proof of just how utterly inept the Liberal media policy is. In a week in which 8 Canadians were killed in Afghanistan, the Liberals, for reasons that defy explanation, decided to announce their deal with the Greens and in so doing took the heat of the Conservatives. Ironically, when the Green announcement did not get the reception they hoped for, they tried to switch back to Afghanistan. Too little too late.

Admittedly, Dion is hamstrung by past Liberal policies and failures real or perceived. Nowhere is this more evident then on Afghanistan and Kyoto. In a perfect world, Dion would be free to blast away at the Conservatives for committing Canada to that fool’s errand that is Kandahar and demand that Canada withdraw from the region. However, it was Martin that committed Canada to that fool’s errand that is Kandahar. So Dion says Canada, having committed ourselves to the mission, should sit there and take our lumps until 2009; anything less would be “dishonourable”. Nobody has thought to expose the shallowness of Dion’s position by asking him this: If the Conservatives were to extend the mission to 2011, say, would removing Canadian troops in 2010, say, also be “dishonourable”? The Liberal party’s position can not be dictated by what the governing Conservatives stupidly commit Canada to as part of their three M foreign policy, viz., moronic, moralistic and macho. Dion can not afford to continue hiding the sins of the father; Liberal Afghan policy must flow from what the party’s assessment of the mission’s merits. The only thing “dishonourable” about that is if Canada were not to give its NATO allies sufficient notice. If the Liberals were to take power this spring, they would have to concede that another deadly summer is our burden to bear, but there is no reason why we must stay there for two such summers. If the Liberals win a later election, they have already put the world on notice. Under a Liberal government Canada will be withdrawing its troops from Kandahar by 2009.

Kyoto is even more troublesome. The other parties successfully framed the issue while arguably the most politically inept Liberal government ever sat by helplessly. This is how the other parties have framed the issue. Under Kyoto, Canada is committed to reducing green house gases to 6% below what they were in 1990. However, since 1990 the Liberals have allowed green house gas emissions to increase by 27% above what they were then. Past Liberal inaction, argue the Conservatives, makes it impossible for Canada to reach its Kyoto targets by 2012. What the Conservatives conveniently leave out is that Kyoto only became law in 2005. The Liberals should make a point of this and use this foundation for a new narrative. Specifically, the Liberals should turn the tables on the Conservatives and argue that Conservatives inaction during its time in office and stalling during Martin’s minority government make it very unlikely that Canada will be able to meet its Kyoto commitments without purchasing foreign emission credits. Dion could then go on to argue that Canada should meet its commitments under Kyoto by purchasing the aforementioned credits well all the while taking steps to insure that it is never in a position of having to purchase credits during what will be a long fight against global warming. Should the Conservatives argue that the Liberals should have done more prior to 2005, the Liberals could again turn the tables against the Conservatives by using the Conservatives own words against them. They can argue that only recently has a consensus emerged about the realities of global warming and Stephen Harper’s own words are proof of that; after all, Stephen Harper is reasonable man and he flatly denied its reality as recently as 2002/2003. Needless to say, it is not likely Conservatives would want to describe the state of debate as being any different. I assume that the Conservatives would rather absolve the Liberals of blame for not acting quicker than admit that they were hopelessly out of touch with latest scientific research recently as a few years ago. Indeed, the more they blame the Liberals for not acting the worse their own position during the same period appears. After all, at least the Liberals acknowledged humankind’s contributions to global warming; key Conservatives, Stephen Harper did not even acknowledge “so called green house gases”. Alas, Dion has allowed the Conservative narrative to remain in place and so set the Liberals up for taking the blame for Canada either failing to live up to its Kyoto commitments or having to buy emission credits.

Saturday, March 31, 2007

Proportion Representation, of sorts, is needed.



I have toyed with the idea of proportional representation, but have never really made up my mind one way or another. One thing I am convinced of is that the amount of seats allotted to each province should be proportional to the amount of people living there. Currently that is not the case. Places such as PEI and Saskatchewan, for example, have way more clout on a per capita basis than either Alberta or Ontario. Part of this is an artifact of the past. PEI, for example, can not have less seats than senators.

As I said in my last post, this situation can be corrected if somewhere in the neighborhood of 150 new MPs are added to the house. If the government where to commit itself to giving an MP for every 70,000 people the new numbers would break down as follows. Ontario would gain 67 seats, Quebec 27, BC 23, Alberta 19, and Manitoba, New Brunswick, Nova Scotia 2 each. All total, a 142 seats should be added, most of those in Urban areas. There would still be outliers. PEI, and the territories would still be over represented, but I do not think this would bother anyone.

How would such an expansion be paid for? The senate should be abolished.

Friday, March 30, 2007

An Agenda for Cities: More Seats





Unless the Liberals do something drastic, the Conservatives will win a majority. The Liberals are retreating on every front. Dion is proving to be an unmediated disaster and the second coming of John Kerry. The Liberals only hope for holding Harper to a minority is to try to fortify their base of support in Canada’s major cities and in the Maritimes.

In order to do the former the Liberals need to do more than promise cities more money. For one, the Liberals need to offer them more power in the form of more seats. One of the reasons why the party is in such a desperate state is that Canada’s major cities are grossly unrepresented and its rural areas grossly over represented. Promise to solve the democratic deficit and I do not mean by promising to add a few more seats here and there. I mean somewhere in the neighborhood of a hundred and fifty plus. Where would the funds come from? Propose abolishing the senate – if only in a piece meal fashion.

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

The Liberal's Harper is a "scary" social con strategy



The Liberals tried hard to paint first the Alliance Party and later the Conservatives party as being a socially conservative party. Such a strategy has met with varying degrees of success. However, with regard to the Conservatives the strategy has, outside of few ill advised comments by Randy White, had only one success and that was the Liberal’s decision to pass the SSM bill. If the Liberals want to paint again paint Harper as being a “scary” social con, they are going to have to force Harper to embrace a socially conservative issue. And there is only one way of doing that and that is promise to pass socially liberal legislation, a la SSM. To think that such a feat can be accomplished in any other way is simply wishful thinking and quite frankly a sign of incredible arrogance.

That being said, to date the Liberals have been terribly reluctant to take the fight to the Conservatives by proposing legislation that will force the Harper to publicly embrace social conservatism. For example, there has been no hint the Liberals are willing to broach the subject of euthanasia, marijuana legalization or even stem cell research even though Harper either explicitly or implicitly rejects all three. Harper has stacked the board over seeing stem research in Canada with social cons and is on record as opposing both euthanasia and marijuana legalization. Such reluctance is somewhat surprising given the libertarian bent of most of Canada’s most conservative new organizations and think tanks. The Fraser Institute, Canwest global, and Macleans, for example, all favor legalization of marijuana.

Now this may be a sign that the Liberals have chosen to abandon such a strategy. However, given Dion’s short time as leader and the prospect of election on the horizon, I consider this unlikely. This is one of the Liberals most developed lines of attack and in terms of the amount of publicity such a strategy generates one of the most successful ways of controlling media coverage.

Whatever the case, I think it unwise to abandon such a strategy if properly implemented (i.e., if the requisite policies are adopted). Outside of war and recently the environment, cultural issues tend to galvanize people in ways other issues do not and the Liberals desperately need to generate some excitement advant guard cache before going into the next election. Furthermore, although the Liberals seem not always to recognize it, what makes a issue a winning is not necessarily how popular an issue is with the public put what effect coverage of a particular issue will have on people’s perception of the major parties. SSM was great example. At the polls it was looser. Canadians were spilt on the issue, but the older one is the more likely one is to be opposed and to vote. What made it a winning issue is that it left the Conservatives defending a morally, legally, and intellectually untenable position and media and academics hampered them every step of the way. Where this relates back to the matter at hand is that should the Conservatives again champion the social conservative position on the aforementioned issues they will again be pillared by the media and academia.

Update

There seems to be some confusion as to what I am proposing. I am not suggesting for a second that should these policies be adopted that the become focal points of any campaign. The Liberals should stick to talking about core issues such as the economy, health care and the environment. What I am saying is that simply by introducing these policies the Liberals will generate plenty of discussion, a la SSM, and discussion of these policies in the media and elsewhere will hurt the Conservatives and help the Liberals. Far from urging the Liberals to be immersed in any debate, I prefer that they lay back. Pundits, academics and indeed bloggers are far better positioned to champion a particular policy than a political party. Like any good therapist, the Liberals should direct the discussion and do not become part of it.

Sunday, March 25, 2007

How to counter Harper’s smears



I can not imagine the Liberals handling Harper’s smears any worse then they have. They have come off as bunch of sniveling cry babies.

They should mock Harper and not demand that he apologize. Mind you, they just do not seem to know how to go negative. Armed with a truck full of anti Canada quotes they should have mocked Harper’s claim to Stand up for Canada. Instead we got warnings about soldiers with guns. Idiots. The lot should be tied down have their eyes forced open and be made to watch hours of the Daily Show. Then they might have some idea as to how to proceed.

Anyway, with regard to the Gordon O’Conner case, what I would do is confidently claim victory and claim that Harper’s smear is sign that he has nothing of substance to say on the matter.

“The defense minister was clearly in the wrong, but rather than doing the right thing and dismissing him, Harper did as he always does and that is he tried to lay the blame elsewhere. To wit:

Stephen Harper: “west of Winnipeg the ridings the Liberals hold are dominated by people who are either recent Asian immigrants or recent migrants from eastern Canada: people who live in ghettoes and who are not integrated into western Canadian society.”

Stephen Harper “I delivered [speeches] everywhere I went … about the spirit of defeatism in the country”

Stephen Harper: “Canada is a Northern Welfare state in the worst sense of the term, and very proud of it.”

From Stephen Harper’s magnum opus “Separation, Alberta-style: It is time to seek a new relationship with Canada”: “Any country with Canada’s insecure smugness and resentment can be dangerous.”

Stephen Harper: "Canada appears content to become a second-tier socialistic country, boasting ever more loudly about its economy and social services to mask its second-rate status"

For Mr. Harper either you are with him or you a smug, resentful, defeatist, slum dwelling terrorist. It is just that simple.”

As for Duceppe approach of comparing Harper to Bush, it is as good as far as it goes. However, it is quite clear that Harper’s soul mate in the Bush administration is not Bush, but Dick Cheney and it is this comparison the Liberals should try to make.

Saturday, March 24, 2007

Great News, Tom Wappel will not run!




Wappel is not running for the Liberals next election

http://www.cbc.ca/canada/story/2007/03/23/wappel-retiring.html

For the same reasons that a believer in flat earth and alien abduction should run for the Liberal party, a person who believes that homosexuality is morally wrong and that personhood begins at conception should not run for the Liberal party. It does not matter that a large percentage of the population holds these views. For a position to be mainstream it has to have more than a wide body of support. The fact, for example, that a huge % of the population believe in ghosts does not make such a believe mainstream. For a position to be mainstream it has to have some intellectual weight and the aforementioned beliefs have none. Wappel held that homosexuality is morally wrong and that personhood begins at conception and these two positions in large part defined his career.

As the Wappels of the world leave the Liberal party, one can only hope that the party will do more to live up to its name in the future. Wappel is not only an embarrassment, but he and the other social cons in the party are real barrier to progress, particularly within the context of a minority government.

Social cons Wappel, Steckle and Bloc founder Lapierre are all not running for the Liberals and the Liberal party is all the better for it.

Thursday, March 22, 2007

Harper and Cheney, soul mates of smear




It is quite clear that Harper’s soul mate in the Bush administration is not Bush, but Dick Cheney. That being said, it would be great if a Lib blogger could do up a video of Harper turning into Cheney, or even Cheney turning into Harper.

Taliban quote: what the Liberals should do with it

It is high time the Liberals develop a global critique of Harper’s leadership and put his Taliban quote in some sort of context. What I would do would be claim victory in the Gordon O’Connor case.

“The defense minister was clearly in the wrong, but rather than doing the right thing and dismissing him, Harper did as he always does and that is he tried to lay the blame elsewhere. To wit:

Stephen Harper: “west of Winnipeg the ridings the Liberals hold are dominated by people who are either recent Asian immigrants or recent migrants from eastern Canada: people who live in ghettoes and who are not integrated into western Canadian society.”

Stephen Harper “I delivered [speeches] everywhere I went … about the spirit of defeatism in the country”

Stephen Harper: “Canada is a Northern Welfare state in the worst sense of the term, and very proud of it.”

From Stephen Harper’s magnum opus “Separation, Alberta-style: It is time to seek a new relationship with Canada”: “Any country with Canada’s insecure smugness and resentment can be dangerous.”

Stephen Harper: "Canada appears content to become a second-tier socialistic country, boasting ever more loudly about its economy and social services to mask its second-rate status"

For Mr. Harper either you are with him or you a smug, resentful, defeatist, slum dwelling terrorist. It is just that simple.”

Social Conservatism and Liberal Prospects.


If the Liberals successfully define Harper as either being a social conservative or beholden to the social conservatives, they will win the next election. If they do not do so, they will loose. It is just that simple.

Tuesday, March 13, 2007

Liberals need to recongnize some hard truths about the media



The Liberals need to recognize some hard truths.

1)Most of what the Liberals say does not interest the media in the slightest. This goes for large issues as well as small. Just because something is important does not render it “newsworthy.” The media do not care about the Liberal income trust plan. They do not care about the Kelowna accord. They do not care about the Liberal record. They do not care when Dion's blathers on about "social justice". ....

2)As far as the English media is concerned, Dion’s grammar and accent do not make for great TV. Focus his energies on Quebec and in the rest of country use others, in particular Bob Rae.

3)Trying to use the media as vehicle for getting your message out is like trying to pass a message to someone across a large room by having a series of people whisper in the ear of the person next to them. What message is eventually received is seldom the same as the message given.

4)For the vast majority of Canadians, what Liberal “messaging” they come across comes from the media.

5)The media is by far the most important focus group.

6)The media love hot button issues. No Liberal bill under Paul Martin garnered anywhere near the amount of press as the SSM bill.

7)Media love of hot button issues ensures that these issues define political parties. SSM is again a good case in point.

8)If an issue takes off, sit back. Pundits, academics and indeed bloggers are far better positioned to champion a particular policy than a political party. Like any good therapist direct the discussion and do not become part of it.

9)The Canadian media are a conservative bunch, but are not socially conservative.

10)Promise to legalize marijuana, euthanasia and in the firestorm that is sure to follow the Canadian media will brand the Conservative party in ways that will hurt the Conservatives at the polls. Although extremely conservative in outlook, Macleans, the National Post, the Fraser Institute and even a large chunk of the Sun media pundits back legalization of marijuana. A plan to legalize euthanasia will be equally well received.

Saturday, March 10, 2007

Cherniak, Chomsky and anti Semitism

Cherniak: “While this singling out of Israel can be called "anti-Zionism", the reality is that it is no different than anti-Semitism. It is the singling out of Jews (indeed, an entire country of Jews) amongst all the people of the world for condemnation. I don't see how else you can view it.”

http://jasoncherniak.blogspot.com/2007/03/what-is-anti-semitism.html

Anti-Semitism is indeed partly to blame. However, to offer up anti-Semitism as the phenomena’s ONLY cause is ridiculous.

It is quite clear that one of the causes is an unwillingness of successive US administrations to call Israel to the account. In other words, the US reluctance to play fair and call a spade a spade generates a great deal of discussion. As the self described leader of the free world, many people are frustrated with US’s unwillingness to treat the issue judiciously. Another cause is that Israel, unlike Iran, Syria, Jordan and China, is considered to be part of the Western orbit, one of us as it where, and as such is held to a higher standard by countries both inside and outside the western orbit.

Cherniak: “This can be applied to our personal lives as well.”

http://jasoncherniak.blogspot.com/2007/03/what-is-anti-semitism.html

To apply this hair brained theory to various groups and countries is bad enough but to apply it to individuals is even worse.

Cherniak seems not to understand that hotly disputed issues, obviously, draw more discussion than topics that are not hotly disputed. Yes China mistreats Tibetans, but no one in the MSM media, or the political arena or the blogging community disputes this or would be surprised by it if they did not already know. Israel’s right to “self defense” is an entirely different matter and naturally enough people are more eager to discuss it.

As for Chomsky, for someone with political aspirations Cherniak certainly demonstrates a tin ear at times. Say for argument’s sake, that Himmler was a self hating Jew. There is no evidence that he was a Jew by the way. Would this little tidbit help make his case, viz., that Chomsky is an anti-Semite, or distract from it? Look in his comments section and you have your answer. If he wanted to make the case that just because someone is an x does not preclude them from being an x hater, he could have gone about it in a way that would not inflame and distract.

As for the accusation itself, it rests on some pretty weak evidence. Be rest assured, many people believed David Irving’s books were extensively researched and most of them were not anti-Semites. That said, it is very unlikely that Chomsky was truly convinced that Robert Faurisson’s book was based on "extensive research”. He admitted that he does “not know his work very well”. That said, if he did believe Faurisson’s book was based on “extensive research” it would be more of a backhanded complement than anything else. Given his assessment of Faurisson’s work he might as well have said this: “Despite years of extensive research, Faurisson, dim bulb that he is, draws all the wrong conclusions.”

Anyway, as should be clear to anyone, Chomsky’s support for Faurisson is a byproduct of his extreme libertarian view of free speech and is not a byproduct of anti-Semitism. And this was clear to anyone reading the Chomsky’s essay that is at the center of controversy, viz., Some Elementary Comments on the Rights of Freedom of Expression.

“Faurisson's conclusions are diametrically opposed to views I hold and have frequently expressed in print (for example, in my book Peace in the Middle East, where I describe the Holocaust as "the most fantastic outburst of collective insanity in human history"). But it is elementary that freedom of expression (including academic freedom) is not to be restricted to views of which one approves, and that it is precisely in the case of views that are almost universally despised and condemned that this right must be most vigorously defended. It is easy enough to defend those who need no defense or to join in unanimous (and often justified) condemnation of a violation of civil rights by some official enemy.”


http://www.zmag.org/chomsky/articles/8010-free-expression.html

A run down of the whole affair can be read at wiki. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Faurisson_affair

Wednesday, March 07, 2007

Conservative Lies of Omission: Part 4 Conference Board of Canada

The Conservatives made a big to do about the Conference board of Canada saying their platform is fully costed. To put this into perspective this is akin to the NDP holding up the fact the CCPA says their platform is fully costed. That is not the problem though. The Conference board of Canada economist who did the analysis is now saying that the platform he examined is not the same platform the Conservatives released. In other words, the Conservatives were trying to pass off the new platform off as the one given the ok by Conference board of Canada. Global and Mail: “Economist washes hands of new Tory agenda”

“Paul Darby, deputy chief economist of the Conference Board of Canada, originally concluded that Stephen Harper's Conservative platform “is affordable in each fiscal year from 2005-2006 through 2010-2011.”
The Conservative party promoted that conclusion last week as evidence its election platform had been “independently verified” by the Conference Board, an Ottawa-based think-tank.
But Mr. Darby says the version of the platform he was given to vet didn't include a Conservative health-care guarantee which states patients will be transported to another jurisdiction if they can't get timely care at home.
It also omitted a Tory platform promise to redress the so-called “fiscal imbalance” between Ottawa and the provinces.
Mr. Darby wouldn't comment on whether the timely health-care guarantee would bear a significant cost.
“Talk to Harper,” he said. “It is not in the platform I received from them.”


http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/Page/document/v5/content/subscribe?user_URL=http://www.theglobeandmail.com%2Fservlet%2Fstory%2FRTGAM.20060115.weconn0115%2FBNStory%2FspecialDecision2006%2F&ord=1173340861320&brand=theglobeandmail&force_login=true

Conservative Lies of Omission: Part 3 Crime Rates

In one of their later electoin ads, balloon, the Conservatives claimed that in 1995 Martin said crime would be down and Canada would be safer, but, they add, homicides are up and so is drug crime. So is violent crime up since 1995? Of course not. In 2003, the murder rate reached a 36 year low and violent crime is way down since the Liberals took office. The homicide rate did go up in 2004, but one year hardly a trend makes.

These are the facts:


The crime % change 1994 to 2004
Homicide -5.3
Attempted murder -29.4
Serious sexual assaults -32.6
Robbery -14
Total violent crime -9.7

The same broad decline can be found for property crime, down 24 per cent in the past decade, car theft (-3.5 %) and break-and-enters (-36 %)


http://www.cbc.ca/canadavotes/realitycheck/violent_crime.html

I am not inclined to give the Liberals much credit for the drop. If there is one thing criminologists agree on it is that the demographic makeup of a society plays a big role. The CBC does a good job of explaining this:

“Violent crime in this country rose steadily during the 1960s, '70s and '80s – the latter being the decade when the Brian Mulroney Conservatives were in power. It peaked in 1992, just before the Chrétien Liberals were returned to office, and for the most part has been dropping steadily ever since. Campaigning Liberals might like to take credit for this achievement, but that, too, would be to play loose with the facts.

The underlying reality is that crime rates are largely a function of demographics. Simply put, violent crime is carried out for the most part by young men between their late teens and late 30s; and probably has been since time immemorial. The decades-long rise that culminated in 1992 coincided with the miscreant faction among the baby boomers and the so-called echo generation that followed close on their heels. When that contingent hit middle age, the rates for murder and violent crime fell – and, perhaps not coincidentally, counterfeiting shot up.”


http://www.cbc.ca/canadavotes/realitycheck/violent_crime.html


The Conservatives are right about one thing though; drug crime is up way up. It is up 52% over the past 10 years. Marijuana possession charges account for most of increase. Interesting enough, drug crime dropped 8% from 2003 to 2004. So the Conservatives are using 1995 as a bench mark for one claim and 2003 as a bench mark for the other.

Anyway, will drug crime go down when the Conservatives launch their War on Drugs? Not if the US is any guide. According to the US Bureau of Justice, Marijuana arrests have more than doubled in the US since 1991. There is both an opportunity cost and real cost to the tax papers to cracking down on marijuana and failing to follow through on plans for decriminalization. Indeed, the state of California, for example, saved nearly a $ 1 Billion by decriminalizing the personal possession of mere one once of marijuana. M. Aldrich and T. Mikuriya. 1988. Savings in California marijuana law enforcement costs attributable to the Moscone Act of 1976. Journal of Psychoactive Drugs 20: 75-81. Add to this the cost to productivity of of needlessly saddling hundreds of thousands of Canadians with a criminal record.

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

The Fraser Institute and Sun Media will help the Liberals if ..



If the Liberals promise to legalize marijuana, they will be able to define Harper in a matter that is favorable to them. What is more, the Fraser Institute, Canwest, Sun Media and Macleans will help!

Sunday, March 04, 2007

Harper LIED about Robillard and Jennings

In uttering the following Harper either flat out lied, or he was inexcusably ignorant of the facts. The latter is very unlikely.

http://www.thestar.com/News/article/187460

Stephen Harper:
“We are putting in place a new selection system so we do not have what we had before – like the member for Westmount-Ville-Marie (Robillard) appointing her former husband as a member of the board”



The problem is that “Robillard's ex-husband, Jacques Lasalle, was appointed to the board in 1990 when Brian Mulroney was prime minister.”

It gets better. As the Toronto Star noted, “he [Harper] repeated the allegation in French, accusing [Liberal MP Marlene] Jennings, too, of making the appointment.” The problem with the latter is that “Jennings' husband, Luciano del Negro, joined the board in 1996, before his wife was first elected to the Commons in 1997.”

Naturally, the geniuses in the Liberal war room have gone out of their way to minimize the damage to Harper’s reputation. Rather then saying that Harper LIED and in so doing grabbing headlines. They choose to say that his behavior is “un-prime-ministerial" and in so doing ensured that no one in the public noticed.

Saturday, March 03, 2007

Liberals: the Media is the Message

There seems to be a lot of confusion, here and elsewhere, as to why I think the Liberals would be wise to embrace a full blooded social liberalism as a political strategy. So I will try again.

The Canadian media is a very poor vehicle for getting the Liberal's word out. Study after study has showed that the coverage the Liberals have received over the course of the last number of years has been worse than abysmal. Yet the Liberal party has still not recognized that if the media does not care for a particular policy or talking point, it matters not a lick how well a particular issue polls, or focus groups. To borrow from Marshall McLuhan, the media is the message. A party’s platform and talking points are only as good as the press they generate. The media is the only focus group that matters.

What this means is that the Liberals have to reassess not only their media strategy, but also what policies and talking points they push as well. With regard to talking points, the Liberals have to recognize that the media are much more politically savvy, educated and knowledgeable than your average Canadian; the Liberals then have to respond accordingly. If a particular talking point offends the intelligence of those in the media they are sure to let the public, subconsciously or otherwise, know their opinion. And if they do that, it matters not at all that Joe focus group loves this talking point. The talking point will be more a liability than a benefit. For a party that is now in opposition and a party with so little to spend on unmediated ad time, this is a lesson the Liberal party has to learn and fast.

Incidentally, while a proper reading of the role of the media in disseminating political messaging seems to hold out the promise of an elevated public discourse, paradoxically it also casts doubt on the possibility of nuance. Nuance invariably involves concession and that is exactly what a politician can not do with the press present. There is simply no guarantee that the media will report both the concession and the triumphant counterpoint. Worse, the media’s fascination with sound bites turns careful deliberation, nuance and concession into dithering. Context is the ecosystem of nuanced comments. Most politicians recognize this and the words “but”, “however”, “although”, “while”, “given”, “granted”, “nevertheless”, “nonetheless”, “despite”, etc. are lacking from many political speeches as a result. This makes political speeches almost intolerable to listen to, but it insures the media does not send out mixed messages on a politician’s behalf.

The media reports what is newsworthy and what is newsworthy is what generates the most profits and what generates the most profits is by and large what generates the largest audience. So, not only should there be no expectation on behave of the Liberals, or any other political party for that matter, that the media will faithfully report what the party is saying, the Liberals must readjust what issues the party focuses on. The public may care a great deal about meat and potatoes issues and tell that to politicians, but the media does not share the same concern and media are the ones that matter. The media love hot button issues. The Liberals should give them what they want. Having introduced the subject, the Liberals should then sit back like any good therapist and let the dialectic play itself out in the media and invariably the public at large. Pundits, academics and, indeed, bloggers are far better positioned to take over championing the policy from there on in.

What hot button issues the Liberals should bring up are, of course, the $64,000 question. As I said before, I think the Liberals should introduce hot button issues that have already played themselves out amongst the learned and are bound to be well received by news organization such as Canwest, which is very libertarian in outlook (e.g., the stem cell research debate and the relative benign nature of marijuana). If the debate is allowed to go on long enough, the end result is predictable. As I have said time and time again, SSM was a great case in point. At the polls, SSM was a looser. Canadians were spilt on the issue, but the older one is the more likely one is to be opposed and to vote. The reason it was a winning issue was because it left the Conservatives defending an intellectually, morally and legally bankrupt position and they were, rightly, pillared by the media and the learned every step of the way. Pace Harper et al, the various court decisions, that ultimately led to C-38’s passing, represented not a premature beginning, but a summation.

Thursday, March 01, 2007

Dion is Politically Inept.

A few weeks back I wrote this:

“Dion has proved to be a one trick pony and not a very impressive one at that. Many Liberal bloggers have claimed that the Tory ads did not work, but polls suggest that Canadians do not trust the Liberals environmental stewardship. The Liberals have been badly outmaneuvered on the file and have offered nothing to fill the hunger for broadly progressive agenda. Harper is slowly neutralizing the environment as an issue and has begun focusing the public debate on issues that he, rightly, feels that will favor the Conservatives, viz., tax cuts and law and order issues.”


Conservatives lauded me for my “honesty” and one Liberal preferred to shoot the messenger. Since then Dion has proved me wrong. He is not a one trick pony. The situation is much worse then that. He played right into Harper's hands. Dion decided to focus on a law and order issue and one very dear to Canwest’s heart, i.e., Israel, err, terrorism. I have said before and I will say it again. The Liberals must not and I repeat must not allow these issue to dominant for long, but that is exactly what Dion let happen. Indeed, rather than talking up a compromise on two provisions, Dion dug in his heels, divided his party and made sure the media forget all about Harper’s smear.


As for Harper’s smear, it was a gift. However, the Liberals never fully capitalized on it. Their pathetic grandstanding made it seem that Harper’s comments were a one off and not business as usual. Not surprisingly, they have still not developed a global critique of Conservatives as having a problem with the truth and have not tied the Conservatives terrorism talking points to the Republican party.

The Liberals need to stop the bleeding. They need to focus the public debate on socially liberal issues (e.g, stem cell research, euthanasia, pot)that will appeal to voters Harper is making hay with, viz., urban and Quebec voters.