Layton has chosen to focus his attacks and Ignatieff and not Harper. This is a strange strategy for three reasons. One, Harper is on the verge of a majority. Two, the number of close battle the NDP have with the Conservatives is far greater than the number of close battles the NDP have with the Liberals. Three, in most parts of the country, especially west of Ontario, voters are far more likely to move between the NDP and Conservatives than between the NDP and Liberals.
Tight NDP Conservative battles
Burnaby-Douglas
New Westminster-Coquitlam
Surrey North
Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca
Edmonton-Strathcona
Western Arctic
Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar
Sault Ste. Marie
South Shore-St. Margaret's
Vancouver Island North
Tight NDP Liberal battles
Vancouver Kingsway
Winnipeg North
Trinity-Spadina
Sudbury
Tight Three way races
Welland
St. John's South-Mount Pearl
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I don't think Layton is concerned about a Harper majority. He would like to replace the Liberals as official opposition. His strategy makes sense to him because he is counting on Harper doing serious damage to the Liberals. So, it is the combined effort from both the NDP and Conservatives that Layton is counting on.
There is no chance whatsoever that the NDP is going to overtake the Liberals this time around.
If the NDP is going to replace the Liberals as the official opposition in the near future, one thing has to happen this election. Layton needs to hold Harper to a minority. Otherwise, the Liberals will have 5 years to recover and any momentum the NDP might have in Quebec will be lost.
The Bloc and Liberals will likely be holding leadership races soon and only way the NDP can use that to their advantage is to hold Harper to a minority.
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